Skip to main content

Latest Analysis

Independent analysis, commentary and investigations on Africa, the Great Lakes Region and international accountability.

The Congolese of DRC are ungrateful to Burundi

The Congolese are ungrateful to Burundi:

Burundi's military intervention against Rwanda-M23 aggression and its marginalisation in the Washington Accords

Explanatory note: This document analyses Burundi's military intervention to defend the DRC against Rwandan and M23 aggression (2022-2025), and the systematic marginalisation of Bujumbura in the resulting regional agreements. The expression "The Congolese are ungrateful" refers to the Congolese government's inability to recognise and defend its principal military ally in negotiations it itself initiated.

Executive summary

The aggression: Since March 2022, Rwanda has militarily supported the M23 with up to 12,000 troops (according to the UN). In January-February 2025, this offensive culminated in the capture of Goma and Bukavu, displacing 400,000 people.

Burundi's response: Burundi deployed over 10,000 soldiers to defend the DRC (October 2023-February 2025). President Tshisekedi acknowledged that only Burundian forces actually fought the M23.

The DRC's appeal to Washington: Facing the crisis, Tshisekedi appealed to the United States (February-March 2025), offering access to critical minerals in exchange for American security assistance.

The result: The Washington Accord (27 June 2025) completely marginalised Burundi. Rwanda obtained a privileged partner position with tripartite agreements (DRC-Rwanda-USA) and bilateral agreements (USA-Rwanda). Burundi was excluded from everything.

Rwanda's refusal: In September 2025, Rwanda maintains its troops in the DRC despite the agreement. No consequences. Economic agreements continue.

The verdict: The country that aggresses (Rwanda) is rewarded. The country that defends (Burundi) is punished. This injustice results from the Congolese government's inability to defend its allies.

1. The Rwanda-M23 aggression: Context and scale (2022-2025)

1.1. The resurgence of M23 with massive Rwandan support

The March 23 Movement (M23), a Congolese Tutsi rebel group, was militarily defeated in 2013 after an initial occupation of Goma in 2012. In March 2022, the M23 took up arms again with unprecedented Rwandan support.

Documented evidence of Rwandan support:

  • December 2024: The UN estimated 4,000 Rwandan soldiers in the DRC assisting the M23
  • March 2025: This figure reached 12,000 Rwandan troops according to UN estimates
  • Command: The UN Group of Experts Report identified senior Rwandan officers directing operations: James Kabarebe (Minister of Regional Cooperation and former RDF Chief of Staff), General Vincent Nyakarundi (RDF Chief of Staff), General Patrick Karuretwa (President of Rwanda's High Military Court)
  • Logistics: The RDF (Rwanda Defence Force) established headquarters one kilometre from the Congolese border to coordinate operations

1.2. The January-February 2025 offensive: The culmination

21 January 2025: M23 captured Minova (South Kivu), cutting the supply route to Goma.

23 January 2025: M23 cut all road connections to Goma.

25 January 2025: M23 entered Goma. The DRC severed diplomatic relations with Rwanda and recalled its diplomatic staff from Kigali.

26 January 2025: M23 broke through defence lines and occupied Goma.

30 January 2025: Goma was entirely under M23/Rwanda control.

5 February 2025: M23 captured Nyabibwe (between Goma and Bukavu).

16 February 2025: Bukavu fell to M23.

Offensive toll:

  • Over 400,000 people displaced
  • M23/Rwanda control over both provincial capitals (Goma and Bukavu)
  • Control of strategic mining areas: Rubaya (coltan), Nyabibwe, Kitchanga
  • Control of Kavumu airport
  • 70 bound bodies found in a church in Mayba (Bukavu suburb)
  • Executions of children by M23 (unverified number)

1.3. International accusation: Rwanda identified as aggressor

21 February 2025: The UN Security Council adopted Resolution 2773 explicitly calling on Rwanda to cease its support for M23 and withdraw its forces from the DRC.

International positions:

  • United States: Recognises Rwandan military support for M23
  • European Union: Condemns Rwandan aggression
  • African Union: Calls for M23 withdrawal to prevent DRC's "balkanisation"
  • MONUSCO: Documents the "critical" role of Rwandan military support in M23's campaign

Rwanda, despite these accusations, continues to officially deny any direct military involvement.

2. Burundi's intervention: The only force actually fighting

2.1. Massive deployment (October 2023 - February 2025)

Facing the M23 offensive, Burundi responded to the DRC's call by deploying substantial forces within the East African Community Regional Force (EACRF) framework.

September 2023: Burundi formalised its military cooperation with the DRC, becoming Kinshasa's principal regional ally.

October 2023: Beginning of the deployment of over 10,000 Burundian soldiers in eastern DRC.

Deployment zones:

  • Fizi and Uvira High and Medium Plateaus (5 battalions)
  • Defence of Bukavu (5,000 to 6,000 soldiers)
  • Kalehe, Kamanyola, vicinity of Kavumu airport
  • South Kivu and border with Burundi

Command: General Pontien Hakizimana (alias "Mingi"), leading a regiment composed of four brigades.

2.2. President Tshisekedi's recognition: Only Burundi actually fights

May 2025: President Félix Tshisekedi made a revealing public statement:

"The Burundian army is the only one operating against armed groups amongst all the East African Community forces deployed in eastern DRC since late 2022."

Tshisekedi added:

"There is a sort of collaboration between the EAC force and the M23 terrorists. Proof of this is the intervention of the Burundians when M23 terrorists began illegally levying taxes in the territories they occupied."

What this statement means:

  • Other EAC forces (Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, South Sudan) are not actively fighting M23
  • Only Burundian forces militarily oppose M23
  • The Congolese president himself recognises that Burundi is his only true military ally

2.3. The cost of Burundi's commitment

Military losses

Whilst official figures are not public, Burundian military sources confirm substantial losses during combat against M23 and Rwandan forces.

Critical logistical problems

February 2025: A senior Burundian army officer told AFP:

"Since yesterday, the army has accelerated the extraction of our soldiers deployed in the Rusizi plain in the DRC."

"Soldiers in the DRC face serious resupply issues, due to 'disorganised' Congolese forces. Burundian soldiers are 'totally lost', without ammunition, without food and must manage on their own."

Forced withdrawal: In February 2025, the majority of Burundian troops withdrew due to lack of logistical support. Approximately 3,000 soldiers remained deployed versus 10,000+ initially.

Humanitarian burden

January-February 2025: Following the fall of Goma and Bukavu, approximately 30,000 Congolese refugees fled to Burundi.

6 February 2025: Burundi temporarily closed its border with the DRC facing the massive influx.

UNHCR declared it to be "the largest refugee wave Burundi has seen since the early 2000s."

Refugee conditions: Congolese refugees in Burundi face difficult conditions – lack of food, shelter, blankets. Burundi, a poor country, struggles to manage this influx without significant international aid.

Economic costs

  • Deployment and maintenance of 10,000+ soldiers
  • Lost or damaged military equipment
  • Unreimbursed logistical expenses
  • Hosting 30,000 refugees
  • Cross-border economic disruptions

No international compensation has been paid to Burundi for these costs.

2.4. DRC-Burundi bilateral cooperation: An alliance on paper

August 2024: Signing of a bilateral military agreement between the DRC and Burundi in Kinshasa.

22 December 2024: President Tshisekedi travelled to Bujumbura to meet his counterpart Évariste Ndayishimiye. Both presidents reaffirmed their solidarity against M23 aggression supported by Rwanda. Burundi, according to the communiqué, "firmly supports the DRC in this conflict."

The paradox: These bilateral agreements and verbal recognition do not translate into concrete logistical support for Burundian forces nor inclusion in major international negotiations.

3. The Congolese initiative with Washington: The process that marginalises Burundi

3.1. Tshisekedi's appeal to the United States

Facing the military collapse of January-February 2025, President Tshisekedi took the initiative to appeal to American power.

February 2025: Tshisekedi sent a letter to President Donald Trump, offering his administration privileged access to the DRC's critical minerals (cobalt, coltan, copper) in exchange for American security assistance.

March 2025: Tshisekedi formalised his offer to the United States.

March 2025: Massad Boulos, a businessman who served as Middle East adviser on Trump's transition team, was appointed to the US State Department to mediate the DRC conflict.

What this means: It was the DRC that initiated the process leading to the Washington Accords. This was not an external imposition. Tshisekedi voluntarily appealed to Washington and offered mineral resources as currency.

3.2. The negotiation process: Systematic exclusion of Burundi

25 April 2025: First meeting in Washington between the foreign ministers of the DRC (Thérèse Kayikwamba Wagner) and Rwanda (Olivier Nduhungirehe), in the presence of US Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

A "Declaration of Principles" was adopted, calling for respect for territorial integrity, addressing legitimate security concerns, and economic cooperation on critical minerals.

Who is at the table?

  • DRC
  • Rwanda
  • United States
  • Qatar (co-mediator)

Who is absent?

  • Burundi – despite 10,000 deployed soldiers and Tshisekedi's recognition as sole fighting ally
  • Tanzania, Kenya, Uganda (other EAC members)
  • Angola (historical mediator of the Luanda process)

19 June 2025: Signing of a preliminary peace agreement.

27 June 2025: Signing of the definitive Peace Agreement between the DRC and Rwanda in Washington.

3.3. The Washington Accord content: An architecture that excludes the defender

Security provisions:

  • Withdrawal of Rwandan forces from the DRC within 90 days
  • The DRC must cease all support for the FDLR (Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda)
  • Creation of a Joint Security Coordination Mechanism (JSCM) between DRC and Rwanda
  • Harmonisation of a plan for FDLR neutralisation

Economic provisions:

  • Establishment of a regional economic integration framework centred on critical minerals
  • US involvement in this economic framework
  • DRC-Rwanda cooperation on exploitation and trade of strategic resources

The fundamental problem:

This agreement treats Rwanda – the aggressor identified by the UN – as an equal party to the DRC. It even offers it a privileged position in the economic exploitation of eastern Congolese minerals. Burundi, which defended the DRC militarily, is not mentioned anywhere.

3.4. USA-Rwanda bilateral agreements: Double legitimisation of the aggressor

Beyond the tripartite DRC-Rwanda-USA accord, the United States and Rwanda signed parallel bilateral agreements covering:

  • Economic cooperation
  • Strategic minerals
  • Regional security

The amplified injustice:

Rwanda thus obtains double legitimisation:

  1. As an equal party to the DRC in the tripartite peace accord
  2. As a direct partner of the United States in bilateral agreements

Rwanda moves from aggressor status (UN Resolution 2773) to privileged economic and security partner of the world's leading power.

Burundi has access to none of these frameworks.

3.5. The DRC's failure to defend its ally

What the Congolese government should have done:

  • Demand Burundi's participation as a precondition for any negotiation
  • Insist that the economic framework on minerals include Burundi which shares 233km of border with South Kivu
  • Make any agreement with Rwanda conditional on respect for territorial integrity AND recognition of Burundi's contribution
  • Use the presence of 10,000 Burundian soldiers as diplomatic leverage

What the Congolese government did:

  • Passively accepted the exclusion of its principal military ally
  • Negotiated directly with its aggressor without including its defender
  • Signed an economic cooperation framework with Rwanda whilst continuing to fight it militarily
  • Allowed the United States to establish privileged bilateral relations with Rwanda

The result: Burundi was betrayed not by its enemy, but by the country it was defending.

4. Rwanda's refusal to respect the agreement: Total impunity

4.1. September 2025: Rwanda remains in the DRC

The 27 June 2025 accord provided for Rwandan forces' withdrawal within 90 days, i.e. before end-September 2025.

September 2025 reality:

  • Rwandan troops are still present on Congolese soil
  • M23 still controls Goma and Bukavu
  • M23 still controls strategic mining areas (Rubaya, Nyabibwe, Kitchanga)
  • No withdrawal has begun
  • Implementation of the agreement is completely stalled

4.2. Absence of consequences

American reaction: No sanctions against Rwanda

Reaction to USA-Rwanda bilateral agreements: No suspension

Reaction to economic cooperation framework: Discussions continue normally

DRC's reaction: The DRC states that no economic cooperation with Rwanda is possible until its troops withdraw – but no concrete action is taken

Burundi's position: Still excluded from all mechanisms, despite Rwanda demonstrating it does not respect agreements

4.3. The message sent: The effectiveness of aggression

The clear geopolitical lesson:

If you are an aggressor with good diplomatic apparatus:

  • You can militarily occupy a sovereign country
  • Obtain a seat at the negotiating table as an equal party
  • Sign advantageous economic agreements
  • Establish bilateral partnerships with great powers
  • Violate these agreements without consequences
  • Continue to benefit from all economic and diplomatic advantages

If you are a loyal defender:

  • You sacrifice lives and resources
  • You are excluded from negotiations
  • You receive no compensation
  • You must withdraw your troops for lack of support
  • You host refugees without international aid
  • You remain marginalised even when the aggressor violates agreements

This system reverses all normal incentives in international relations and guarantees the perpetuation of conflicts.

5. The injustice table: Rwanda vs Burundi

Complete comparative table

CriterionRWANDA (Aggressor)BURUNDI (Defender)
Military role 2022-2025Deployment of 12,000 soldiers to support M23Deployment of 10,000+ soldiers to fight M23
UN positionAccused of aggression by Resolution 2773Recognised as stabilisation partner
Tshisekedi recognitionDesignated as supporter of M23 "terrorism""Only force actually fighting M23"
Territorial controlIndirect control of Goma, Bukavu, mining areas via M23No territorial control in DRC
Direct economic benefitsHundreds of millions USD/year via mining exploitation (Rubaya, Nyabibwe)Massive uncompensated military and logistical costs
Costs assumedNone – exploitation generates profitsDeployment, equipment, munitions, unreimbursed food
RefugeesNo Congolese refugees hosted30,000+ Congolese refugees hosted
Washington Accord participationPrincipal party to negotiationsNot invited, completely excluded
Bilateral agreements with USAYes – privileged agreements signedNo – no agreements
Economic cooperation frameworkPrivileged partner on critical mineralsExcluded despite 233km border with South Kivu
Accord compliance (Sept. 2025)Total violation – troops maintainedN/A – not party to agreement it should have signed
Consequences of non-complianceNone – agreements continue normallyN/A
Final diplomatic positionLegitimised as indispensable regional actorMarginalised as peripheral actor
International recognitionUSA partner in regional frameworkNo international recognition
Net benefitsEnormous: economic gains + political legitimisation + privileged partnershipsNegative: military losses + economic costs + refugee burden + diplomatic exclusion

The table's verdict: Aggression is rewarded, defence is punished

This table reveals a perverse logic whereby:

  • The country destabilising the DRC obtains diplomatic recognition and economic opportunities
  • The country defending the DRC obtains marginalisation, uncompensated costs and exclusion

This complete inversion of normal principles of international justice demonstrates that the current system:

  1. Rewards manipulative diplomatic effectiveness rather than real contribution
  2. Favours those who violate international law if they have good influence networks
  3. Ignores those who sacrifice to defend another state's sovereignty
  4. Creates perverse incentives that encourage future aggression.

6. The causes of this injustice: Congolese institutional weakness

6.1. Chronic diplomatic incapacity

The Congolese government suffers from structural institutional weakness explaining this injustice:

Paralysing diplomatic dependence

  • The DRC never pilots its own negotiations
  • It passively accepts priorities of external mediators (USA, Qatar)
  • It did not demand Burundi's inclusion as a precondition

Absence of coherent strategic vision

  • Signs bilateral agreements with Burundi (August 2024, December 2024)
  • Then negotiates economic frameworks with Rwanda without involving Burundi
  • This incoherence reveals the absence of coordination within the governmental apparatus

Capture by private interests

  • Eastern DRC economic elites have lucrative business relations with Rwanda
  • These cross-border networks influence governmental decisions
  • Personal profit takes precedence over national interest or ally loyalty

Absence of institutional memory

  • The government forgets its partners' sacrifices
  • Burundian contribution (10,000 soldiers, Tshisekedi recognition) weighs nothing in decisions

6.2. Vulnerability to Western pressures

The United States and European Union have historically favoured Rwanda as a regional partner, perceived as:

  • Stable and modern
  • Economically effective
  • Reliable ally (despite aggression accusations)

The DRC, dependent on international aid, struggles to resist these orientations. It follows American priorities even when they contradict its strategic interests.

6.3. Diplomatic abandonment of Burundi: A symptom of incompetence

The fact that the DRC did not demand Burundi's presence at Washington negotiations illustrates fundamental incapacity.

A strong sovereign state would have:

  • Made its participation conditional on inclusion of all its military allies
  • Used Burundian deployment as diplomatic leverage
  • Refused any economic agreement with Rwanda without Burundi's inclusion

The Congolese government:

  • Passively accepted the architecture proposed by Washington
  • Allowed its principal ally's exclusion
  • Signed agreements with its aggressor

This is not malevolence – it is institutionalised incompetence.

7. Rwanda's benefits: How the aggressor profits from conflict

7.1. Direct economic benefits

Mining exploitation via M23

  • Control of Rubaya (one of the world's largest coltan sources)
  • Control of Nyabibwe and other strategic mining areas
  • Export of Congolese minerals as Rwandan production
  • Estimate: hundreds of millions of dollars annually

Commercial intermediary position

  • Obligatory transit of numerous Congolese products via Rwanda
  • Customs duties and transit fees
  • Commercial margins on DRC-international markets exchanges

7.2. Diplomatic and strategic benefits

International legitimisation

  • The Washington Accord places Rwanda on an equal footing with the DRC
  • For a country accused of aggression by the UN, this is a major diplomatic victory
  • Rwanda moves from aggressor to indispensable partner

Privileged access to economic frameworks

  • Regional integration framework on critical minerals
  • Partnerships with American investors
  • Central position in future regional economic projects

Strengthening of regional influence

  • Seat at major negotiating tables
  • Influence on regional security and economic decisions
  • Consolidation of status as indispensable regional power

7.3. Absence of costs for aggression

No sanctions for:

  • Deployment of 12,000 soldiers on Congolese territory
  • Occupation of Goma and Bukavu
  • Military support for M23
  • Documented violations of international law

No consequences for:

  • Violation of Washington Accord (non-withdrawal in September 2025)
  • Maintenance of military occupation
  • Continuation of Congolese resources exploitation

Net result: Rwanda wins on all fronts – massive economic gains, diplomatic legitimisation, increased regional influence, privileged international partnerships, and no cost for its aggression.

8. Consequences of this injustice: Threats to regional stability

8.1. Disincentive to loyal cooperation

Fundamental question: Why would a country sacrifice its resources to help the DRC if this commitment translates into no recognition?

Burundi has learnt that:

  • Deploying 10,000 soldiers leads to no recognition
  • Hosting 30,000 refugees generates no aid
  • Being recognised by Tshisekedi as only true ally guarantees no inclusion
  • Military and economic sacrifices translate into no benefits

Consequence: Future potential DRC allies will think twice before committing.

8.2. Encouragement of aggressive opportunism

Lesson learnt by regional actors: Military aggression with good diplomatic apparatus leads to:

  • International recognition
  • Advantageous economic agreements
  • Partnerships with great powers
  • Impunity even when violating agreements

Consequence: This system incentivises destabilisation rather than cooperation.

8.3. Weakening of Congolese institutional credibility

How to take seriously a government that:

  • Does not defend its allies
  • Rewards its adversaries
  • Forgets its partners' sacrifices
  • Cannot honour its bilateral commitments in multilateral forums

Consequence: The DRC loses all credibility as a reliable regional partner.

8.4. Risk of definitive marginalisation of Burundi

If Burundi remains excluded from regional frameworks:

  • Loss of economic opportunities (South Kivu minerals, commercial corridors)
  • Progressive geopolitical isolation
  • Frustration potentially leading to destabilising decisions
  • Potential rupture of future cooperation with the DRC

Consequence: A marginalised Burundi is not just an injustice – it is a security vulnerability for the entire region.

9. Urgent recommendations: How to correct this injustice

9.1. Immediate inclusion of Burundi in all regional frameworks

Required actions:

  1. Reopening of the Washington Accord to formally integrate Burundi as a signatory party
  2. Inclusion of Burundi in the regional economic integration framework on critical minerals, particularly for South Kivu with which it shares 233km of border
  3. Integration of Burundi into the Joint Security Coordination Mechanism (JSCM) in recognition of its military contribution
  4. USA-Burundi bilateral agreements similar to those signed with Rwanda, to balance partnerships

9.2. Official recognition of Burundian contribution

Required actions:

  1. Official Congolese government statement publicly recognising Burundian sacrifice and apologising for exclusion
  2. Financial compensation for military, logistical and humanitarian costs assumed by Burundi
  3. Medal or distinction for Burundian forces who fought in the DRC
  4. Memorial to Burundian soldiers fallen defending Congolese sovereignty

9.3. Conditionality of agreements with Rwanda

Required actions:

  1. Immediate suspension of all economic cooperation frameworks with Rwanda whilst its troops remain on Congolese territory
  2. Firm conditionality: No economic agreement with Rwanda without complete withdrawal AND Burundi's inclusion
  3. Targeted sanctions against Rwandan officials identified by the UN as directing military operations in the DRC
  4. Review of USA-Rwanda bilateral agreements to include sanction mechanisms in case of violation

9.4. Institutional strengthening of Congolese government

Required actions:

  1. Reform of diplomatic apparatus to develop autonomous negotiation capacity
  2. Inter-ministerial coordination to ensure coherence between bilateral agreements and multilateral positions
  3. Anti-corruption to reduce influence of private business networks on governmental decisions
  4. Diplomatic training so Congolese negotiators can firmly defend national interests and strategic alliances

9.5. Verification and enforcement mechanisms

Required actions:

  1. Independent international monitoring of Rwandan forces withdrawal with publication of monthly reports
  2. Automatic sanctions mechanism in case of withdrawal deadline non-compliance
  3. Freezing of economic agreements as soon as a violation is confirmed
  4. Increased role for the African Union and EAC to guarantee that all concerned member states are included in regional processes.

10. Conclusion: Congolese ingratitude and the urgency of justice

The record of a flagrant injustice

Burundi's military intervention to defend the DRC against Rwanda-M23 aggression represents one of the most substantial commitments by an African country for another's sovereignty in recent history:

  • Over 10,000 soldiers deployed
  • Only force actually fighting M23 according to President Tshisekedi himself
  • Massive military losses and logistical costs
  • 30,000+ Congolese refugees hosted
  • Forced withdrawal due to lack of support

The Congolese government's response to this sacrifice:

  • Total exclusion from Washington Accords
  • No inclusion in regional economic frameworks
  • No compensation for costs assumed
  • No organised international recognition
  • Diplomatic abandonment in favour of Rwanda, the aggressor

The double betrayal: Congolese initiative that marginalises its own ally

The injustice is amplified by the fact that it was the DRC itself that initiated the process leading to this marginalisation. By appealing to Washington (February-March 2025) and offering access to critical minerals, Tshisekedi triggered negotiations he could not control.

Result: The process initiated by the Congo to solve its security problem resulted in:

  1. Legitimising Rwanda (tripartite and bilateral agreements)
  2. Excluding Burundi (no participation)
  3. Rewarding the aggressor (privileged economic frameworks)
  4. Punishing the defender (total marginalisation)

Rwandan impunity: The price of Congolese weakness

In September 2025, Rwanda maintains its troops on Congolese territory despite the 27 June accord providing for withdrawal within 90 days. No consequences. Economic agreements continue. USA-Rwanda bilateral partnerships remain in force.

Meanwhile, Burundi remains excluded, its troops had to withdraw for lack of support, and it continues hosting 30,000 refugees without international aid.

The message is clear: In the current system, well-executed diplomatic aggression leads to success. Loyalty and sacrifice lead to abandonment.

Why "the Congolese are ungrateful"

This expression does not aim to stigmatise the Congolese people. It names a geopolitical reality: the Congolese government's chronic inability to:

  • Honour its alliances
  • Recognise its partners' sacrifices
  • Defend its allies in international negotiations
  • Coordinate its bilateral commitments with its multilateral positions

This ingratitude is not malevolence – it is the symptom of institutional weakness:

  • Paralysing diplomatic dependence
  • Absence of strategic vision
  • Capture by private interests
  • Vulnerability to external pressures

A system that guarantees perpetuation of conflicts

The current architecture creates perverse incentives:

It rewards:

  • Military aggression (Rwanda: privileged partner)
  • Violation of agreements (no consequences for non-withdrawal)
  • Exploitation of others' resources (minerals via M23)
  • Diplomatic manipulation (effective lobbying)

It punishes:

  • Military loyalty (Burundi excluded despite 10,000 soldiers)
  • Humanitarian sacrifice (30,000 refugees without recognition)
  • Diplomatic honesty (absence of lobbying penalised)
  • Respect for principles (defending sovereignty brings nothing)

Inevitable consequence: This system guarantees conflicts will continue. Why choose loyal cooperation if it leads to exclusion? Why not opt for aggression if it opens Washington's doors?

The urgency of rebalancing

Without immediate correction of this injustice, any pretence of lasting peace in the Great Lakes will remain illusory.

Three imperative actions:

  1. Retroactive inclusion of Burundi in all regional frameworks – Washington Accords, economic cooperation, security mechanisms
  2. Firm conditionality: Suspension of all economic agreements with Rwanda until complete withdrawal of its troops AND Burundi's inclusion
  3. Institutional strengthening of the DRC so it can defend its alliances and pilot its own negotiations

Final verdict

Burundi has been faithful. The DRC has been ungrateful. Rwanda has been rewarded. This dynamic must cease.

A system that rewards aggression and punishes loyalty is not a peace system – it is a system that guarantees conflicts will continue indefinitely.

Burundi deserves better than this marginalisation. The DRC deserves a government capable of defending its allies. The Great Lakes region deserves a peace architecture founded on justice, not opportunism.

The injustice done to Burundi is not a diplomatic detail – it is the symptom of a dysfunctional regional system where the weakness of the Congolese state allows aggression to be rewarded and loyalty punished.

Without justice for Burundi, there will be no peace in the Great Lakes.

Principal references

Official documents and UN reports

  1. United States Department of State (27 June 2025). Peace Agreement Between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the Republic of Rwanda. https://www.state.gov/peace-agreement-between-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo-and-the-republic-of-rwanda
  2. UN Security Council (21 February 2025). Resolution 2773 - Call for Rwanda to cease support for M23.
  3. MONUSCO (2024-2025). Reports on security situation in DRC. Estimates: 4,000 Rwandan soldiers (Dec. 2024) → 12,000 (March 2025).
  4. UN Group of Experts on DRC (2024). Report on Rwandan military support to M23. Identification of Rwandan commanders.
  5. UNHCR (February 2025). Burundi Refugee Situation Update. 30,000+ Congolese refugees in Burundi.

Government sources

  1. Presidency of the DRC (May 2025). President Tshisekedi's statement: "The Burundian army is the only one operating against armed groups."
  2. Burundian Ministry of Defence (2023-2025). Communiqués on deployment of 10,000+ soldiers in EACRF.
  3. Presidency of Burundi (22 December 2024). Communiqué on Tshisekedi's visit to Bujumbura.

Analyses and documentation

  1. Wikipedia (2025). "2025 Democratic Republic of the Congo–Rwanda peace agreement". Complete documentation.
  2. Wikipedia (2025). "Democratic Republic of the Congo–Rwanda conflict (2022–2025)".
  3. Wikipedia (2025). "2025 Goma offensive" and "2025 Bukavu offensive".
  4. Lieber Institute West Point (15 September 2025). "The Conflict in Eastern DRC and the State Responsibility of Rwanda and Uganda".

Reference media

  1. The Defence Post (21 February 2025). "Burundi Forces Flee DR Congo as Conflict Sparks Refugee Wave".
  2. The New Humanitarian (12 May 2025). "Congolese escaping the M23 conflict face new hardships in Burundi".
  3. The East African (14 November 2023). "M23 go for Burundian troops in DRC clashes".
  4. African Security Analysis (2025). "Burundi Intensifies Its Military Involvement in Eastern DRC".
  5. Council on Foreign Relations (2025). "Conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo". Global Conflict Tracker.

Burundian perspectives

  1. Burundi-Forum (27 June 2025). "Burundi / Géopolitique – RDC, Rwanda, USA : Comment comprendre la signature du 27 juin 2025 ?"
  2. Burundi-AGNews (2025). Analyses on Burundi's exclusion from regional agreements.

International briefings

  1. UN Press (28 February 2025). "As Regional Tensions Rise, M23 Advances Further in Eastern DRC". Security Council briefing.

Prepared par :

Sam Nkumi, Chris Thomson & Gilberte  Bienvenue

Improve Africa, London, UK

Comments

Support Our Work Now !

Africa Realities Media is independent. Your support helps us expose injustice, challenge silence and produce evidence-based analysis on Africa and the Great Lakes Region.

Recent Posts

Show more
Africa Realities Media offre un espace aux écrivains, chercheurs, experts, activistes, voix communautaires, militants, analystes et personnes ayant une expérience vécue qui souhaitent contribuer à des contenus réfléchis, responsables et courageux sur les changements nécessaires dans la région des Grands Lacs, ainsi que sur les réalités politiques, économiques, culturelles et sociales africaines souvent ignorées, minimisées ou mal représentées. Nos articles et vidéos visent à ouvrir le débat, renforcer la sensibilisation, encourager la pensée critique et favoriser une réflexion plus profonde sur les réalités vécues par les populations africaines. Nous voulons aider les peuples de la région des Grands Lacs à mieux comprendre leurs droits, notamment leurs droits humains, leur droit au développement, leur droit à la dignité, à la sécurité, au bien-être et à une vie meilleure. À travers nos contenus, nous cherchons également à rappeler aux décideurs, aux institutions publiques, aux acteurs régionaux et internationaux, ainsi qu’aux responsables politiques, leur devoir de transparence, de responsabilité et de redevabilité envers les populations qu’ils prétendent servir. Notre objectif est de contribuer à une culture de vérité, de justice, de participation citoyenne et de protection égale pour tous les peuples africains.

Why We Exist

Many abuses facing African people are committed by African states, ruling elites, armed groups, military forces and security services. But these abuses are often sustained by international silence, Western lobbying, trade interests, migration deals, mineral access, diplomatic partnerships and unequal global accountability. Africa Realities Media exposes that system.

Lived Experience Matters

Survivors, displaced communities, refugees, families affected by repression, journalists, activists, women, young people and diaspora voices are not passive subjects. They are knowledge holders. Their experiences must shape policy, advocacy, journalism and public debate. The people closest to injustice are often closest to the solutions.

Our Principle

Africa Realities Media is rooted in one principle: African lives deserve equal truth, equal justice and equal protection.

Popular Posts

THE BATTLE OF RUBAYA: Rwanda's War for Minerals Exposed

T he FDLR Pretext Collapses Under the Weight of Documented Plunder   Introduction: A Battle That Tells the Truth When Rwandan-backed RDF/M23 forces fought with extraordinary ferocity to seize and hold Rubaya — a remote mining town in North Kivu, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo — the stated justification was security. Kigali's consistent public line has been that its military presence in the DRC is a response to the threat posed by the Forces Democratiques de Liberation du Rwanda (FDLR), an armed group whose leaders include individuals linked to the 1994 genocide against the Tutsi. This narrative has been accepted, qualified, or left insufficiently challenged by Western governments and multilateral institutions for over a decade. The Battle of Rubaya strips that narrative bare. What unfolded in Rubaya was not a counter-insurgency operation against genocidal remnants. It was a sustained military campaign — reinforced by the Rwanda Defence Forces (RDF), prosecuted at sign...

LA BATAILLE DE RUBAYA : La guerre du Rwanda pour les minerais exposée

Le prétexte des FDLR s’effondre sous le poids du pillage documenté Introduction : une bataille qui dit la vérité Lorsque les forces RDF/M23 soutenues par le Rwanda ont combattu avec une férocité extraordinaire pour s’emparer de Rubaya et la conserver — une ville minière reculée du Nord-Kivu, dans l’est de la République démocratique du Congo — la justification officielle était la sécurité. La ligne publique constante de Kigali a été que sa présence militaire en RDC répond à la menace posée par les Forces démocratiques de libération du Rwanda (FDLR), un groupe armé dont les dirigeants comprennent des individus liés au génocide de 1994 contre les Tutsi. Ce récit a été accepté, nuancé, ou laissé insuffisamment contesté par les gouvernements occidentaux et les institutions multilatérales pendant plus d’une décennie. La bataille de Rubaya met ce récit à nu. Ce qui s’est déroulé à Rubaya n’était pas une opération de contre-insurrection contre des restes génocidaires. C’était une campagne mili...

Les remèdes cosmétiques de la France face à la guerre dans l’est de la RDC

Résolution 2773, Conférence de Paris, doctrine macronienne du dialogue et pari de la Francophonie La politique de la France à l’égard de l’est de la RDC a produit un schéma constant : un langage public fort, une faible application des décisions, aucune pression visible fondée sur les sanctions, et des appels répétés au dialogue qui laissent largement intact le levier militaire et politique du Rwanda. La France ne peut pas rédiger des résolutions, organiser des conférences, rejeter les sanctions, appeler au dialogue, puis revendiquer la neutralité pendant que les civils restent sous occupation, déplacement et violence. Dans une guerre de cette ampleur, le silence et l’inaction ne sont pas neutres. Ce sont des actes politiques. Introduction La France se présente comme l’une des puissances occidentales les plus engagées dans la recherche de la paix dans l’est de la République démocratique du Congo. Elle a parrainé la Résolution 2773 du Conseil de sécurité des Nations unies. Elle a organ...

President Macron Against US Sanctions on Rwanda

How France's Interests in Mozambique Obstruct Peace in the DRC A Critical Analysis of Emmanuel Macron's Interview with TV5 Monde, Africa Forward Summit, Nairobi, 12 May 2026 Published by The African Rights Campaign (ARC)   |   London, May 2026   1. Introduction This analysis is based on French President Emmanuel Macron's interview with TV5 Monde, conducted on 12 May 2026 during the Africa Forward Summit in Nairobi, Kenya. In that interview, Macron was asked a direct question: given that Rwanda's support for the M23 armed group has been documented by United Nations experts, and given that the United States has imposed sanctions on the Rwanda Defence Force and several of its senior officers, why have France and the European Union declined to do the same? Macron's response was unconvincing, dishonest and analytically incoherent. It revealed not a carefully calibrated position of principled neutrality, but the operational logic of a government that has c...

[AFRICAFORUM] Tr : [hinterland1] Tr : L'OCCUPATION RWANDAISE EN MARCHE

  ----- Mail transféré ----- De : Mpania Jean <drjeanmpania@yahoo.fr> À : Hinterland <hinterland1@yahoogroupes.fr> Envoyé le : Mercredi 26 février 2014 17h13 Objet : [hinterland1] Tr : L'OCCUPATION RWANDAISE EN MARCHE   Le Mercredi 26 février 2014 9h56, congokdp <congokdp@gmail.com> a écrit : L'OCCUPATION RWANDAISE EN MARCHE :   Voici comment les institutions et tout le système de sécurité de la RDC sont sous contrôle du Rwanda et les officiels congolais infiltrés par des «hirondelles» rwandaises! L'OCCUPATION RWANDAISE EN MARCHE :  Voici comment les institutions et tout le système de sécurité de la RDC sont sous contrôle du Rwanda et les officiels congolais infiltrés par des «hirondelles» rwandaises! Le processus d'occupation de la RDC par le lobby tutsi rwandais passe par le...

The Kagame Myth: Western Power, Private Jets and Rwanda’s Controlled Reality

  ANALYSIS AND INVESTIGATION Introduction: The Myth and the Man Behind the Myth There is a version of Paul Kagame that exists in the conference halls of Davos, in the pages of Western magazines, in private hotel meetings in London, Paris and Washington, and on the sleeves of European football shirts. In this version, Kagame is a visionary. A builder. A disciplined African moderniser. A leader who pulled a broken country from the ashes of genocide and turned it into what admirers often call the “Singapore of Africa”. In this version, Rwanda is clean, efficient, safe, investment-friendly and orderly. Kagame is presented as the African leader the West wants to believe in: controlled, polished, pro-market, security-focused and comfortable in elite Western spaces. Then there is the Rwanda that many Rwandans, exiles, journalists, opposition figures and human rights organisations describe. In this Rwanda, YouTubers and online commentators are jailed for what they say. Critics die in custo...

Dr Phil Clark ( SOAS University of London): A biased lecturer and researcher about African issues.

Dr Phil Clark   was born in Sudan and   is currently   working at SOAS University of London. He is known to be   biased lecturer and researcher about African issues, particularly the Rwandan genocide.     With his poor judgement and analytical thinking, this man only talk about   the results   of events and forget the     root causes. He is a staunch supporter of the criminal, dictator and killer Paul Kagame , the President of   Rwanda. He is singing the song of the winner of the Rwandan  war. He is in the same boat with Linda Melvern, a biased British   freelancer who received a medal from the dictator Paul     Kagame. "> "> Dr.Phil Clark "> Linda Melvern I am asking Dr Phil Clark   one question:   Dear   Dr Phil Clark, What     was the   role of   Paul Kagame and RPF in the Rwandan  massacres and genocide in and outside Rwanda?   Based...

Le Président Macron contre les sanctions américaines imposées au Rwanda

Comment les intérêts français au Mozambique font obstacle à la paix en RDC Analyse critique de l'entretien d'Emmanuel Macron avec TV5 Monde, Africa Forward Summit, Nairobi, 12 mai 2026 Publié par The African Rights Campaign (ARC)   |   Londres, mai 2026     1. Introduction La présente analyse est fondée sur l'entretien accordé par le président français Emmanuel Macron à TV5 Monde, le 12 mai 2026, lors de l'Africa Forward Summit à Nairobi, au Kenya. Au cours de cet entretien, Macron s'est vu poser une question directe : étant donné que le soutien du Rwanda au groupe armé M23 est aujourd'hui documenté par les experts des Nations Unies, et étant donné que les États-Unis ont imposé des sanctions aux Forces de défense du Rwanda (FDR) ainsi qu'à plusieurs de leurs hauts responsables, pourquoi la France et l'Union européenne n'ont-elles pas fait de même ? La réponse de Macron s'est révélée peu convaincante, malhonnête et analytique...

Kagame’s Image Machine: Who Profits While Rwanda Stays Poor

I nvestigation:  Paying to Stay Poor: How Western PR Firms, Lobbyists, Sports Clubs and Media Outlets Profit from Rwanda’s Image Economy Introduction: An Ecosystem of Paid Influence Rwanda is often presented internationally as a model of discipline, security, investment promotion and post-genocide recovery. That image has been carefully built, repeatedly amplified and professionally protected. Behind it sits a costly international network of sports sponsorships, lobbying contracts, public relations firms, legal consultancy, political access, favourable media relationships and diplomatic narrative management. The moral problem is clear. Rwanda remains heavily dependent on foreign aid and external financing. According to World Bank-linked data, foreign aid received by Rwanda reached approximately 1.39 billion US dollars in 2023. UNDP’s 2025 Human Development Report gives Rwanda a Human Development Index value of 0.578 for 2023, placing it 159th out of 193 countries and territories. U...

Justice ou théâtre politique ? Les procès français du génocide rwandais et le travail inachevé de la réconciliation entre Rwandais

Introduction Depuis 2014, les tribunaux français ont poursuivi une série de ressortissants rwandais hutu pour leur rôle présumé dans le génocide de 1994 contre les Tutsi. Le premier procès, celui de l’ancien chef du renseignement Pascal Simbikangwa, a été suivi par les condamnations des anciens bourgmestres Octavien Ngenzi et Tito Barahira en 2016, puis par la condamnation, en 2023, de l’ancien officier de gendarmerie Philippe Hategekimana. Aucun accusé jugé en France, au titre de la compétence universelle, pour le génocide rwandais n’a été acquitté. D’autres poursuites devraient suivre. Ces procédures ont été largement saluées comme la preuve que la France affronte enfin son passé d’État ayant protégé des auteurs présumés du génocide sur son territoire. Des organisations internationales de défense des droits humains, des spécialistes du génocide et une partie de la société civile française les ont présentées comme une contribution tardive, mais bienvenue, à la lutte mondiale contre l’...

Why Africa Realities Media Is Different

Africa Realities Media speaks to Africa and to the developed world. Many abuses facing African people are committed by African states and ruling elites, but they are often protected by international silence, lobbying, public relations, trade interests, migration deals and unequal global accountability. While governments pay lobbyists to present a good image abroad, ordinary African people continue to face violence, hunger, disease, poverty, repression and exclusion. We challenge the normalisation of African suffering and demand equal truth, equal justice and equal protection.

Pourquoi Africa Realities Media est différent?

Africa Realities Media s’adresse à l’Afrique et au monde développé. De nombreux abus subis par les peuples africains sont commis par des États africains et des élites dirigeantes, mais ils sont souvent protégés par le silence international, le lobbying, les relations publiques, les intérêts commerciaux, les accords migratoires et une responsabilité mondiale inégale. Tandis que des gouvernements paient des lobbyistes pour présenter une bonne image à l’étranger, des Africains ordinaires continuent de faire face à la violence, à la faim, aux maladies, à la pauvreté, à la répression et à l’exclusion. Nous contestons la normalisation de la souffrance africaine et exigeons une vérité égale, une justice égale et une protection égale.

BBC News

Policy and Systems Change

Our work is designed to trigger debate, discomfort and action. We do not only expose injustice; we work for policy and systems change. We want governments and institutions to address the root causes of inequality, disadvantage, discrimination, exclusion and barriers affecting African people. We believe lasting change must be shaped by people with lived experience.

Exposing Injustice in Africa

Africa Realities Media is an independent African accountability platform based in London. We report, analyse and challenge the systems that shape African suffering, silence African victims and protect abusive power. We are not here to repeat diplomatic language. We are here to ask the questions that are often avoided: why are African deaths treated as normal? Why are African victims given less urgency? Why are governments that imprison, exclude, displace or kill their own people protected when they serve powerful international interests?

Africanews

Africa Realities Media gives space to writers, researchers, experts, activists, community voices, campaigners, analysts and people with lived experience who want to contribute thoughtful, responsible and courageous content about the changes needed in the region, as well as the political, economic, cultural and social African realities that are often ignored, minimised or misrepresented. Our articles and videos aim to encourage debate, raise awareness, stimulate critical thinking and support reflection. We seek to help people in the Great Lakes Region understand their rights to human rights, development and wellbeing, while also encouraging decision-makers to be more transparent, responsive and accountable.

Appel à contributions

Sensibilisez le public aux causes qui vous tiennent à cœur. Prenez part au changement que vous souhaitez voir émerger. Aidez à combattre l’injustice partout où elle se manifeste.

Africa Realities Media accueille des articles originaux, analyses, tribunes, réflexions communautaires et commentaires fondés sur des faits concernant la région des Grands Lacs africains, ainsi que les questions liées à la justice, aux droits humains, à la gouvernance, aux conflits, à la paix, aux réfugiés, aux ressources naturelles et à la responsabilité publique en Afrique.

Nous accueillons également les annonces concernant de nouvelles ou d’anciennes publications liées à nos domaines d’intérêt. Vous pouvez annoncer gratuitement votre publication, notamment un livre, un rapport, une étude, un article académique ou tout autre travail pertinent.

Les articles doivent être rédigés en anglais ou en français et ne doivent pas dépasser 1 500 mots.

Veuillez inclure le nom complet de l’auteur, qui sera publié avec l’article s’il est accepté.

Avant de soumettre votre article, veuillez d’abord lire nos pages du site web afin de vérifier si votre article correspond à nos priorités éditoriales, à nos thèmes et à nos domaines d’intérêt.

Si vous avez un article, un commentaire ou une annonce de publication à partager avec un public plus large, veuillez l’envoyer par email à :

africarealitiesmedia@gmail.com

Nous étudierons la possibilité de publier gratuitement les articles et annonces de publications appropriés s’ils répondent à nos critères éditoriaux, notamment la pertinence, la clarté, l’originalité, l’intérêt public, le respect des communautés concernées et l’utilisation responsable des informations et des preuves.

Les articles sont publiés tels qu’ils sont soumis s’ils répondent à nos critères et à notre politique éditoriale. Nous ne procédons pas à une modification supplémentaire de votre article avant sa publication.